A few days ago, the British luxury goods retailer Burberry (Burberry) Group is unexpectedly issued a profit warning and announced same-store sales data is the worst since the financial crisis, show a slowdown in China and the euro zone turmoil luxury goods group impact, which raises concerns about the market for luxury goods industry.
Caused outlook Ltd. The expert of the luxury goods industry analysts said, Burberry's profit warning passing out a negative message to the most important, the decline in same store sales year-on-year growth rate of large area, from last year's 14% to 6% in the first quarter of this year, 0, to the latest quarterly market the second half of the year is likely to be negative growth.
It is reported that the Burberry released a profit warning, not only make it a 21% plunge in the stock Tuesday also make the entire luxury industry felt a cold snap. As of Tuesday, the LVMH (France LVMH Group) shares fell 4.5%, Ferragamo (Salvatore Ferragamo) fell 5.7%, Tod's (Tuo Desi) fell 4.1%, Richemont (Richemont, the Swiss watch manufacturer Group) fell 4.6% and even this year, the share price almost doubled Prada (Prada) also fell by 6.2%.
Morgan Stanley warned that there will be more of the luxury goods company came the bad news.
General decline in the growth rate of the luxury industry
Burberry had been born as early as 156 years ago, the brand loved by the King of England and world famous. So far, the classic Burberry plaid, the unique fabric features and generous and elegant tailoring, has become synonymous with British style.
However, Burberry Group was the first to issue a profit warning this year, the major luxury brands. After a few months, investors have been widely suspected the needs of this area is beginning to show a decline.
Burberry Group warned that the operating conditions in the second half of the year will be "more difficult": In the fiscal year ended March 31, 2013, pre-tax profit may be "in the low-end of market expectations, or between 407 million pounds to 455 million pounds.
Luxury goods industry expert said: "The decline in the luxury goods industry's growth there are a number of reasons. First, the debt crisis of the European market shrunk; Second, the slow growth in the U.S. market other luxury goods group take multi-brand, multi- category strategy, the relative decline in performance is not so dramatic like a single brand Burberry Group due to the lessons of the economic crisis in 2008, in recent years, the company's supply chain management efficiency has improved to the inventory pressure should not last so great. but, the recovery process of the future performance of the luxury goods company will slow global economic growth 'engine' China market continued high growth momentum is no longer. "
Industry or a period of adjustment
Investment Advisor in Senior Fellow Xuesheng Wen said, the luxury goods industry has been in China, "wind and water" recent first decline, accounting for a quarter of the global luxury consumption "buyers" and its slightly "powerless". Affected by domestic macroeconomic and consumer habits in China has gradually turned to the rational, which resulted in a greater impact on the luxury market. The Burberry shares tumbled, part of the influence of the Chinese market, but such a large decline, he is expected to include Asia, Europe, the United States and other major markets have different degrees of deterioration.
"" Invincible luxury goods industry is now entering a period of adjustment, which is the manifestation of normality of the laws of the market. "Xue Shengwen think the luxury goods industry in the global economic downturn troubled normality law of development of the market indicates that the economic rebound is revive the occasion.
Xuesheng Wen is expected that the market will usher in a new round of reshuffle, the crisis of affordability weak brand will be eliminated. The one hand, the luxury goods group seeking to lower production costs, on the other hand need research to understand consumer demand, production of marketable products.
However, in the current situation, luxury goods companies to accelerate the shop layout, and also be a burden. Burberry Group on Tuesday revealed that, so far, in the 10 weeks of the quarter, the decline in sales growth. Open at least a year's Burberry store sales were flat with the same period last year, despite coupled with the newly opened store sales growth of 6%.
The luxury goods industry experts said that in recent years, luxury consumption boom driven by the major luxury goods companies have in the Asia Pacific, in particular, is a second-tier cities in China to accelerate the shop, also played a role in fueling the blind development of the local commercial real estate, In the current economic situation, many of these new store openings can not achieve the desired results. Unlike foreign luxury goods consumers mainly constituted by the wealthy crowd of older and stable income, low age of the Chinese market, luxury consumers, more people are impulsive consumption and conspicuous consumption, revenue growth is expected to decline, will lead to high end of the contraction of the consumer.
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